Bill Simmons and Zach Lowe, both of Grantland.com, talk NBA playoffs for over an hour on Friday’s edition of The BS Report. The conversation eventually turns to the first-round series between the Trail Blazers and Rockets. Lowe, who has picked the Rockets to win in five games, doesn’t have a whole lot of complimentary things to say about the Blazers, stating that the Blazers are the team every other Western Conference team wanted to play and that Robin Lopez has “no shot” against Dwight Howard.
But Simmons isn’t so sure. The Sports Guy goes so far as to say that he doesn’t think the Rockets can win if Patrick Beverley isn’t healthy, wonders how Houston is going to stop LaMarcus Aldridge and calls Damian Lillard one of the “toughest guys in the league.” He also predicts the series goes seven, though he never says which team he thinks will win, and that Lillard and Beverley will come to fisticuffs before it’s over. There’s also discussion of how Wesley Matthews might attack James Harden, the issues for Lillard and Jeremy Lin on defense
(The segment pertaining to Trail Blazers vs. Rockets starts around the 15:45 mark)
Bill Simmons: I want to go back to Houston one second. Van Gundy picked them to win the title.
Zach Lowe: It doesn’t surprise me. Houston, if you’re going to make an out of the box championship pick, Houston is the best possible pick. And I think Golden State would have been the best possible pick had Bogut been healthy but he’s not. And I think Houston, they have the profile and they put together about a 35-game stretch where they really had the profile of a championship contender. And then Beverley got hurt and Howard started missing games and they sort of were just there for the last 15 games of the season.
They have two stars, they have a decent defense on the right night, sometimes a very good defense sometimes a bad one, and an explosive offense. And they got — I don’t mean to demean Portland because they’re a good team — they got the team that everyone in the West wanted to play in the first round and they were 4-0 against San Antonio. If you’re going out of the box — I don’t even think Houston is that far out of the box — but if we assume that they are that’s the smart pick.
Simmons: The part everyone forgets about the playoffs is you only have to play well four times. So, you look at Indiana and be like, well, Indiana’s been a .500 team the last two months. That’s true, but in the playoffs if you’re .500 that means you have Game 7 at home if you’re Indiana. You can go .500 in the playoffs.
Lowe: This is the Heat the last two years. They played well four times every series and that’s all they need.
Simmons: We’ve talked about Houston before and how dangerous they can be in a series. They have the one James Harden game where he scores 48, they have the one Chandler Parsons game where he makes nine threes, they have the one huge Dwight Howard game when he has the 30-20 and that’s three wins.
I worry that they’re going to be healthy enough, cause Howard really hasn’t been totally Howard since that little stretch they had where they knocked off the three contenders in a row then he got his butt kicked by Joakim Noah and that whole thing. We haven’t really seen him unleash holy hell for about two straight weeks in a couple months. Did we ever figure out how Beverley came back so fast? Are we sure he’s 100 percent?
Lowe: We’re not, and he has to be. In this series with Portland, with Lillard going around those pick and rolls where he needs just the smallest sliver of daylight to launch a three and with all the shooters around him. This round and beyond they need Beverley and they need Howard this round badly because Howard — I wrote about this in my preview — he just absolutely destroys Robin Lopez. Robin Lopez has no shot against a healthy Dwight Howard. He shot like 60 percent in the post, just obliterated Robin Lopez. If they are healthy, that’s the key to the series for me.
We don’t know how healthy Amir Johnson is for the Raptors and he’s a crucial player for them. All these sort of late-season injuries, it’s hard to tell sometimes how much is an injury and how much is, okay, he’s recovered but we’re just going to sit him out because the game don’t really mean anything anymore.
Simmons: Controversial opinion: I don’t think Houston can beat Portland if Beverley’s not healthy, because for two reasons. One, he’s really their only guys on the perimeter who can guard anyone. And two, I think he’s kind of the key guys for them from a toughness standpoint and they feed off him. If he’s not right, I think that’s really going to effect them. It puts a lot of pressure on Jeremy Lin.
Oh, by the way, Jeremy Lin versus Damian Lillard might be the all-time “nobody can guard nobody” matchup. Everybody just clear out of the way and let guys get layups if that happens.
Lowe: Unless we get a couple of random cross matches where Harden is guarding Lillard. Then the universe might implode on itself. By the way, any time you have, during one season, like three YouTube compilations of your horrible defense become viral, you know that you’ve had a bad defensive season.
Simmons: I really feel like Harden was ruined psychologically by trying to guard LeBron in that Finals and it effected his offense and then he was like “Ah, you know what? Everyone has to make choices in life and I’m making mine now. I’m an offensive player. I will never try that hard on defense again. I’m just not doing it.” But in this series he’s not going to really have to guard anybody. It’s a nice matchup for him.
Lowe: I will say this: Wes Matthews is going to take him to the block.
Simmons: He should!
Lowe: I was watching film of their games the other day and I’ve talked to Wes about his post game. He goes after Harden, to the point that they may put Parsons on him for some of the series so Harden can take Batum. Wes is going to make him bang down there.
Simmons: My predictions are always wrong: I predict that this series goes seven. I just feel this series to me reeks of seven. It stinks of seven. I can just feel it. If Howard isn’t right I think Portland can win. I don’t think this is a slam dunk by any means. I think this is actually a pretty good matchup, for the most part, for Portland except for what you mentioned, that Robin Lopez against Howard.
One of these, I remember like in, I’m going to say in December, these two teams played on a Thursday night game and I remember Aldridge really took it to Houston. I do wonder, like, that’s another interesting part, if Howard isn’t right. He’s really the only guy on that team that can guard Aldridge. So, you know, if he’s not right then all the sudden you’re looking at Motiejūnas and people like that. That’s not going to be good. I guess they could bring Asik in but then, the Asik/Howard combo, they’ve had such limited success with it. Do you think they’ll starting playing them in the playoffs or do you think they’ve just given up on it?
Lowe: I think they’ve mostly given up on it but — we’ve talked about this before — I do think there will be a situation where we see it. They’re on the opposite side of the bracket from Memphis so that’s not going to happen probably, but Asik will get some time in this series on LaMarcus Aldridge. And then that game you’re mentioning was primarily LaMarcus Aldridge going crazy on Terrence Jones late in the game, to the point that they had to switch Howard onto LaMarcus Aldridge. I think we’re going to see that switch sooner in this series because Terrence Jones just isn’t big enough.
But Howard has done well against Aldridge. The downside of that is it takes Dwight away from the rim on pick and rolls and all those other plays that LaMarcus Aldridge is in. That is interesting. You’d rather have Dwight near the rim for obvious reasons, but if that becomes untenable, how long do you stick with Terrence Jones? And they played at least once after Aldridge came back from, what did he have, a groin injury and then he fell on his back, they played at least once since then and Aldridge wasn’t quite himself and they were like “We don’t give a crap who is covering you. We’re leaving you one-on-one.” Chandler Parsons, one-on-one. James Harden, one-one-one. They let Harden guard him one-on-one a couple of times and they just let him do whatever he wanted to do. We’ll see if they change that of if they’re sort of going to let LaMarcus get his.
Simmons: There’s two possibilities for a massive fight in Round 1. The first one is Steven Adams against anybody on Memphis, probably Zach Randolph … But then the other one, obviously, Beverly and Damian Lillard, at some point, those guys, that’s just going to be like, the streams are going to cross and it’s not going to be pretty. Cause Lillard is one of the secretly toughest guys in the league. He doesn’t take anything from anybody. And Beverley knows that and he’s going to trying to get into his head the whole series and at some point somebody is getting mad at somebody.
Lowe: They’ve exchanged some trash talk, have they not, this year? Wasn’t there some verbal back and forth the two of them had? I can’t remember what the particulars were but they definitely did.
Simmons: Yeah, something is going to happen.
Simmons: Talking about Lillard for a second though, I think every playoffs, somebody makes the leap, right? It’s always a younger player on a big stage, he comes through, everybody gets really excited, kind of a breakthrough moment. I think Steph Curry is a great example last year where he was one one level going into the playoffs, jumped a level when he got to the playoffs and put himself just in a different place. I would say that two big candidates this year for this are Damian Lillard and John Wall. Who am I missing?
Lowe: I was going to say Wall. DeRozen and Lowry with the Raptors, although Lowry is sort of a veteran so maybe he doesn’t fit
Greetings Trail Blazers fans. With the 2016 NBA Draft scheduled to take place on Thursday and the Trail Blazers recently making changes to their broadcast team, Joe Freeman, he of The Oregonian/OregonLive.com, and I, Casey Holdahl of ForwardCenter.net/TrailBlazers.com, felt like it was a good time to break our hiatus to record a new edition of the Rip City Report podcast, which you can listen to below…
In this edition we discuss the Cavaliers winning the 2016 NBA Championship, talk to Kevin Calabro, fresh off of calling the deciding Game 7 of the NBA Sunday night, about taking over play-by-play duties for the Trail Blazers, discuss Portland’s options going into the draft considering the team doesn’t have a pick in either round and answer a host of your Twitter-submitted questions. Hopefully there’s enough here to get you through until the next time we record, which probably won’t be long.
A happy Friday the 13th to all of you loyal podcast listeners. Before everyone goes their separate ways now that the offseason is here, Joe Freeman, he of The Oregonian/OregonLive.com, and I, Casey Holdahl of ForwardCenter.net and TrailBlazers.com, hit the Moda Center studio one last time to record a season-ending edition of the Rip City Report podcast, which you can listen to below…
On this edition, we attempt recap the series versus the Warriors, which ended in five games with a 125-121 loss at Oracle Arena Wednesday night, and the season in general, discuss the lasting effects of the playoff run and the respect that they earned from around the league due to their performance and look forward to some of the questions the Blazers will have to answer in the offseason, particularly in regard to free agency. And as always, we finish up by answering your Twitter-submitted questions on topics such as the culture the Trail Blazers have developed, (more) free agency, exit interviews and favorite moments from the just-completed season. It’s been a fun one.
Less than 12 hours after being eliminated from the postseason, the Trail Blazers returned to their practice facility in Tualatin to meet with the coaches to discuss offseason plans, clean out their lockers and take questions from the media one last time before starting their vacations.
Here’s the audio and a few quotes from Terry Stotts and the players from today’s exit interviews…
On the 2015-16 season…
“Like I said last night, this has been a special season. This group of players, what they were able to do individually and collectively, our chemistry was really good. We had good guys, they got along, players and coaches. It means a lot and it goes both ways. It was a joy. I think players enjoyed coming to work every day and I know the coaches and staff did, too.”
On whether this was his most rewarding season as a head coach…
“No question. This was an extremely rewarding season because it kind of played out the way we wanted it to. And we’re not talking about the record or the playoffs, everything was about growth, improvement, getting better throughout the season and being better at the end of the season. I think we did that individually and collectively and from a coaching standpoint, that’s as pure as it gets. That’s what coaching is about. You don’t get to experience that very much at the NBA level.”
On whether he expects anyone on his staff to be interviewed for various open head coaching positions…
“I hope so. I can’t say enough about how good my staff is. I think Jay Triano and Nate Tibbetts and David Vanterpool are all ready to be considering for head coaching jobs. I think they’re all prepared to do a great job as a head coach depending on whatever a team is looking for. I hope they get consideration because they’re all very deserving.
On many of his teammates deciding to stay in Portland during the offseason…
“That means a lot because I stay here every summer. I’m used to coming in here like ‘I wonder when everybody else coming back to town,’ you know what I mean? The trainers are here, the coaches are here and it’s an empty gym. And even after the game last night, on the plane, I started getting worried already. I was sitting on the plane like ‘Man, we had some success this year, it was unexpected it was no pressure. Next year people gonna expect a little bit more’ and I started to get worried about too many pats on the back. ‘They weren’t supposed to do this but they did that.’ I started getting worried, but we don’t have those kind of guys. We’ve got hungry guys, we’ve got humble guys that work hard. We had a taste this season as a young group of how well we could do and what it takes. We lost to a really experienced, championship team. That makes me happy to hear that so many guys are going to be here working out in the summer because that lets me know that they see how close we are and they see how important it’s going to be going forward.”
On free agency and having a say in the process…
“I’m pretty sure they’ll communicate what the plans are with me, but like I’ve said in the past, my job is to be a good teammate, to make sure I put in my time and become a better player and that’s what I’ll do. They ask me my opinion on something, I’ll give them my honest opinion, but I love all the guys that we have on our roster now. I think going forward, if we continue to grow together, we’ll be a good team. Obviously it’s a business and rosters change, players make decisions for themselves, so when that time comes, we’ll see what happens. But when they come to me ask for my opinion or what I think about something, I’ll tell them what I think.”
On what he’s looking for as a restricted free agent…
“Any pay raise is going to be significantly higher than what I’m making now. But like I said earlier, it’s just situation really for me. It doesn’t make sense to make a lot of money and go to a team that, if you don’t fit that system, then get paid a lot of money to be frustrated? That doesn’t make sense to me. The culture here, it’s great. I know this organization well, I know the system, know the coaches, players. It’s just real comfortable here. I wouldn’t mind being here, I really wouldn’t. It’s really just coming down to situation and how I can continue to improve as a basketball player.”
On head coach Terry Stotts…
“Definitely think he should get an extension. I feel like everybody here knows that he should get an extension. He’s done a great job with this team. It’s really hard to put into words what he did with this group because nobody expected us to do what we did. Even from Day One, even through the games where we were 11-20, seven-game losing streak, he never folded and he always told us it’s all about trusting the process and we stuck with that throughout this whole year.”
On spending time in Portland this offseason…
“I think, for one, it doesn’t rain a lot in the summer, so that helps. Just being around the facility, 24 hour access, you’re able to get a lot of things done without a distraction. You go home, you go to certain cities, you either got to pay to get in the gym or you’ve got to worry about people interrupting you while you workout. I go back to my high school but sometimes I’ve got to just like lock the door so I can just workout and not have to worry about certain interruptions because you can’t get through a full workout when people are coming in, talk to you. It’s meant to be a compliment to you, it’s hard. So I think it helps that here, you just come in, the doors are locked, you’ve got your finger scan, you workout when you want, the weather is nice. You’re paying rent here anyway, so it makes sense.”
On the camaraderie of the roster and the changes that might be in store…
“I think we had a really unique group. They did a great job of putting together like minds, young guys who are easy to talk to. Nobody is really arrogant or overly cocky. We’ve got some ignorant guys on the team that you guys guys know who’s outlandish with his statements. I won’t put him out there, he knows who he is. Besides that, we all got along well, everybody spoke their minds, nobody was afraid to say certain things. If somebody played bad, if somebody wasn’t doing things the right way, you could address it and nobody would frown or look at you the wrong way. So I like the way our team is put together, I like the work ethic everybody had. This is one of the rare teams where you could hang out with players off the court. Everybody’s got their friends, but I could hang out with any one of the 15 guys off the court and be perfectly comfortable, eat dinner, et cetera… We’ve got a really good unit and a lot of guys made themselves some money this year, a lot of guy’s prices went up. Hopefully we can rekindle the flame, but if not, we had a good run, we had a good year together collectively and wish everybody the best of luck in the free agency process.
On how he’s approaching restricted free agency…
“To be honest with you, I haven’t had a real concrete conversation with my agent about this. I wanted it to be, right now, about my rehab and about supporting the guys, being there however I could, I guess more from an emotional standpoint, for the team. I certainly wish I could have been out there. With that being said, I’m sure we’ll talk within the next couple of days about how we’re going to really approach this, the timing of things, I suppose what teams are interested, what teams would maybe like to meet in person. I don’t have a concrete plan at this point. Restricted free agency, it gets a little hairy, it takes time, teams maybe don’t want to tie their money up. I honestly don’t know all the ins and outs of it. Like I said before the season when I didn’t accept an extension, I’m confident in where I’m at. It’s my agent’s job to present whatever he has on his mind and what’s on my plate from that side of things. My job right now is simply to rehab my shoulder, continue to work on my leg strength, which is a huge focus of mine for this summer, and just figure out different way in the weight room or out here, even simple things as ball handling, just trying to improve as a player and as a man.”
On why he’s going to spend much of the offseason in Portland…
“I’m coming back to Portland just because went through all that rain, got to enjoy some of the sun. I like it here. I’m renting a spot, so I’m just going to stay here. I like Todd (Forcier) and BK (Ben Kenyon) and those guys, so definitely going to put a lot of work in in the weight room. It’s always good vibes here so I don’t think guys want to get away. Some teams, you want to get away just because you don’t like certain people. It’s not like that here. I enjoyed being here so that’s why I’m going to stick around and do most of my training out here.”
On the realities of keeping a roster with multiple free agents together…
“It’s going to be tricky with all the salary cap stuff going on. I think a lot of the guys who are free agents definitely raised their value. I think everyone did. You never know. I hope all those guys get paid well, I think they will. They deserve it. You just never know with free agency, who they go after and things like that, but I hope everybody comes back, but that’s not really realistic. It doesn’t really work like that in the league. I just tried to enjoy that time yesterday because I’ve been around a little bit and I know how the business side of things work.”
On his mindset going into the offseason…
“This summer is big for me, become more of a scoring threat. I think there’s a lot to be added. I look forward, if the opportunity is there, to come back to have some stability from a staff perspective. I would look forward to coming back to a similar situation from one season to the next. I’ve played for three coaches in three years, so I think that would be something I’d look forward to as well… Once you’ve been traded, you never know.”
On being a restricted free agent…
“Free agency is something I haven’t really thought about. I’ve tried not to think about it during the season and we just finished yesterday, so it hasn’t really been on my mind yet. It’s something that we’ll have to think about soon.”
On his first season in Portland…
I loved it. It was by far the most fun season I’ve had. These guys here are great, the organization is great. I really, really enjoyed it and looking forward to seeing what happens this summer.”
On his first season in Portland…
“It’s the most fun year I think I’ve had as a pro. We had a great group of guys, high character guys, silly guys and it was a fun year. That’s without even being on the court. On the court, we had a special group. We came together halfway through, really made it a special year all the way until last night when we’re playing against the champions, gave them all we had. Played a tough series, obviously it didn’t end the way that we wanted it to, but it’s a year we’re all proud of.”
His thoughts on entering free agency and what he’s looking for…
This is my second time doing it and it’ll be a little different than the first time. I think getting a taste of what this year and this postseason was like and how much fun, how competitive it is, I think, number one, being on a team that’s a winning team. It’s obviously tough to get on one of the elite elite teams, but that could be a possibility. That could easily be a possibility here. Being on a team that is about winning and that’s a good fit for me.
On his first season with the Trail Blazers…
“It was an amazing journey of growth. We grew a lot throughout the season, personally and as a team. It was just fun to be a part of it.”
How he looks back on the season in terms of enjoyment…
The season was great. Any time you have guys that are the same age, it just makes it a lot easier to get along. It’s easy to have relatable points, different things like that. A lot of us are going through similar things in our careers so you get to relate on that note. When it came to comfortably in that sense, it was just unbelievable. And then I think that’s why the chemistry was there as well. Even our vets and the older guys like Chris Kaman, they were a joy to be around as well. From top to bottom, everybody was kind of in that same wavelength of what they were trying to do. It just made it easy to get along.